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Complexity, Risk and Financial Markets

Complexity, Risk and Financial Markets: Edgar E. Peters
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Autor(en) Edgar E. Peters Verlag John Wiley & Sons Inc.
Sachgebiet(e) Österreichische Schule, English Books ISBN 0-471-39981-7

2001, XVIII, 222 p., softcover

A groundbreaking look at complexity theory and its implications in the world of finance

Complexity theory tells us that processes with a large number of seemingly independent agents-such as free markets-can spontaneously organize themselves into a coherent system. In this fascinating book, Edgar Peters brings together scientific theory, the artistic process, and economics to show how the randomness and uncertainty of complexity theory can be applied to financial markets. Written in an engaging and accessible style, this is a thoughtful, conceptual look at the way free markets are, by their nature, continually evolving complex systems. Expanding on previous explorations of chaos theory, Peters draws on real-life examples ranging from the Asian crisis to America's love of conspiracy to show that complexity and randomness are necessary for the free markets to operate in a competitive manner.
Source: John Wiley & Sons

Review:
Peters combines a chaos/complex systems framework with the Austrian school of economic thought to explain our lack of market understanding. He develops a strong case that the most pressing problem for investors is not a matter of specific models but of determining how to assess risk in a complex and uncertain world. Peters draws important distinctions between risk, uncertainty, ignorance, vagueness, and ambiguity, and in doing so, shows how the subtle meanings of words can provide immense value in explaining the market environment. He also resurrects the Austrian school's emphasis on subjectivism and makes it come alive within finance.
Financial Analyst's Journal, Vol. 58, No. 2, quoted on John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

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